Secret Tip To Detecting Official Major Trend Changes

A special tip for everyone today, I wanted to reveal how I trade trends and how I know when a new trend is actually forming and to start trading the other way. This is very important, the main reason being is most traders even good traders will do fine with trading but seem to have trouble as soon as the trend changes on them.

Well, this solution will help. Basically put, it will show where to get in and where to step out and once again we will be referring to the weekly charts. That is because they work time and time again.

Watch the video above to see how I do it.

Some common questions I get asked..

When Do I get in on the trend after weekly signal..?

You get in on pullbacks but I will reveal that in a later video to show exactly how i do it. Stay tuned for that future video and subscribe.

When Do I get out of a trend?

I usually ride the trend as long as it goes or until i have a losing trade.. Sometimes that can be as much as 8 to 9 trades before a loser as trend trading is high probability. The recent bull move on the EURUSD gave out more than 14 successful trades in a row.

Why Engulfing Weekly Entry Signals, why not lower time frame Engulfing’s for deciphering the Trend?

In Forex you need confirmation of everything and weekly has no noise, the signals are much better than any other time frame and they work time and time again.. Ponder on this, to get a good weekly engulfing candle it means for a whole week the buyers or sellers have control, chances are this forms a new trend.. In fact the chance is over 80% as a probability factor.

eurusd weekly trend

One can however use the daily chart in the same way, however one then needs to then except lower probability of it being a valid trend signal.

How Profitable is Trend Trading This Way?

It is the most profitable form of trading because you are going with the bias of the market.. I still suggest using confluences such as support and resistance, however using the Weekly Chart as a trade bias gives an edge for a trader…

How Long Do I Trade the Trend?

I trade until the trend ends or until next weekly major structure and then i pause and sees if it holds or breaks, if it breaks and continues I then proceed to trade the trend.

Update Above – Video Followup as promised on how to trade the weekly with using pullbacks on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts rather than straight off the weekly chart. Weekly chart for bias, lower time frames for pullbacks and better entries.

About Timon Weller

Timon Weller is the professional Writer and Trader behind the blog Forex Reviews. Timon Weller is also a professional Teacher of Price Action Trading and creator of the popular Training Series teaching people how to trade Price Action effectively called The Engulfing Trader. For other Forex Training available here at Forex Reviews click here.

For more on Timon Weller Click Here. To Learn more about How to Trade the Market and get updates Click Here.


  1. Haji Zulhazmin says:

    (Secret Tip To Detecting Official Major Trend Changes)

    Hello.. my question is.. which timeframe did you use for support and resistance..
    and this strategy can use for daily..?

    thank you.. really appreciate your answer

    • Hey Haji,
      Yes you can use on daily, there will just be a bit more noise. As for support and resistance, I only ever use the daily and weekly structure areas as support and resistance even If i am trading on a much lower scale..

      As an example, even if i was trading the 15 minute chart i would still only trade around the daily and weekly support and resistance zones..


    • Charles Organ says:

      Where do you place your stops on the weekly engulfing strategy? I have a full time job so I can’t watch my charts for extended amounts of time during the day. Your advice would be greatly appreciated.

      • Hey Charles,
        Two options with stop losses with this method:
        Below price action pullback low ( if bullish bias area ) or above price action pullback high ( if bearish bias area ) on pullbacks in trading bias area on trading time frame ( 1 hour, 4 hour, etc ).
        Other option is trading in same way as above on pullbacks in bias area however placing stop loss below ( if bullish signal ) or above ( if bearish signal ) weekly signal.

  2. Hi Tim,
    I noticed some differences between engulfing(especially on M15) and pullback strategy although both encompassed arround engulfing candle signal.
    Pls correct my what i understood so far. Is it right in the earlier strategy , entry solidly base on engulfing signal alone, while trade entry for the later also base on engulfing on pullback only?

    • Hey Syakrin,
      You confused me a little with your question. I think i know what you mean though, always look to the left, look at evidence where signal is. If looks good follow candle on entry. Eg. previous structure support.. Or in a trend situation previous structure buy now as resistance.. Pullback to it as resistance offers sell opp.. Opposite in buy situation.

  3. Hi Timon,
    I noticed some differences between engulfing(especially on M15) and pullback strategy although both encompassed arround engulfing candle signal.
    Pls correct my what i understood so far. Is it right in the earlier strategy , entry solidly base on engulfing signal alone, while trade entry for the later also base on engulfing on pullback only?

  4. Hi Tim, thanks for such helpful vids

  5. thanks timon .interested in any strategies off the weekly charts,keep them coming.

  6. Love the way you trade. Thanks so much for all the excellent free training material you provide. 🙂

    I noticed on some of the videos that you are using Bollinger Bands. Can you explain how you use them to enter and exit trades?

    • Thanks Linda, glad you are enjoying the videos.. 🙂

      In the examples you saw I was showing using bollinger as a extra confluence other than just needed support or resistance zones or price action. Indicators such as these are of little value by themselves and should never be relied on for trading as main confluence. Same goes with stochastic or RSI or any other indicator, they are all useless indicators overall because they follow price and lag, so when using if using at all there effect on the market should be the last tick on the box for adding confluence.

      As an example, in order of value in trading.

      Number one is Price Action
      Number two is structure – For buying or selling or knowing once broken where people place there stop losses.
      Number three is extra confluences to increase edge such as fibonacci, trendlines, channels, patterns..
      Lastly, number four if using as an option any other indicator if it lines up as well. These are of least value to a trader and completely optional.

      The first three being of highest value.

      As for your question on exits, best method is either next price structure or opposing candle signal. One can also line up confluences with indicators as well but this should only be used if it lines up with the first two ways as well.. ( Extra confluence.. )


      • Good to know, Tim. I am wondering if you have strick rules you follow as to entries and exits. How do you decide whether to use oscillators or other indicators for conformation?

        • Hey Linda,
          Oh okay, If you wish to use oscillators, Bollinger Bands or similar in your trading then just use them as confirmation to price action and structure when they are in the over bought or over sold region on these indicators..

          Eg. When price is above 80 on stochastic or similar, RSI is the same, then it is over bought meaning time to start looking for sells if price action aligns.. Below 20 is oversold and when in this region if it aligns with price action and structure start looking for buys. However like i mentioned earlier price does not move because of indicators at all, indicators such as stochastic lag because they follow price.. To many they refer to this as repainting.. On the other hand candles and structure points or fibs do not lag and indicate current probabilities.

          At the top of bollinger bands is overbought and at the bottom of bollinger bands is oversold..

          To me, I rarely use any form of indicator other than candles, patterns and structure, occasionally a bollinger band but it is not really needed.. I like my charts squeaky clean.. The candles say most of the story and it helps keep trading simple.

          I use mainly in most of my trading candlesticks for entries and also indications to place stop losses.. For exits, it is different in all trades but mainly I use 1 to 1 or opposing candles.. I go over this in detail in my product which will be released in January ( The Engulfing Trader ). Entries and exits is always different based on market conditions..

          Trading Confluences

          1. Price Action – Key confluence
          2. Structure – Key confluence
          3. Optional confluences – Whatever else suits you, patterns, fibs or oscillators ( if it lines up with the first two first )..


  7. Hi Timon

    Just found your blog. Wanted say what a great site, no bullsh&it just simple price action. I luv it.

    Timon i have question:- im learning price action trading and wondering how you define what is an engulfing pattern.?

    Thanks in advance and please don’t stop posting articles and videos.

    • Hey James,
      Good question and big topic, that is what my latest series of training covers which will be released next month called The Engulfing Trader. Takes a while to spot good potential engulfing candles and know where to trade them, so this will be released in detail in this product as this is my core strategy.

      Thanks for the positive feedback and speak again soon.
      Happy Trading.. 🙂

      • Thanks Timon for the reply i appreciate it. ahh Training sounds good,perfect timing lol, i will keep an eye out for it. BTW Sorry about the other comment i made(one below where i thought you removed my orginial comment) my mistake (blush).


  8. Timon,

    Why was my comment removed ?
    just asking about engulfing patterns.


  9. Hi Timon,
    I am really enjoying your price action video on the weekly chart. I look forward to your insight on the market and your reviews on what could happen if the candles set up at support and resistance or Zones . I cant wait for next video.
    Thankyou Timon for all of your help Brian

  10. Hi Timon

    Found this video very informative. Will go and have a look at my weekly charts now Thank you for sharing it.

  11. briantk41 says:

    Hi Timon:
    For the Detecting Official Major Trend Changes can this be used for 60 sec, 3 minute, 5 minute trading also.
    No matter what you share great ideas and clear video instructions,
    Keep up the good work and thanks for the information,

    • Hey Brian,
      Thanks for the feedback.. This is more so for the identifying factor like a detective. Building the probability evidence. The weekly chart candles having a strong bias so that bias can be applied to other time frames as an extra bit of evidence when looking at evidence on that time frame.


  12. John Rungen says:

    Hello Timon,
    Thank you for another great video and a very good tip. I have not looked at weekly chart because of the large stop, but I am now convinced. You make it so easy to follow, provided one use the filters you mention. Cant wait to try it. Thanks a million.
    Best wishes,

  13. Nigel Virgin says:

    Hi Timon,

    Thanks for the two video’s above, which confirm I’m on the right track……at last.Please keep them coming.

    Thank You


    A million thanks Timon, this video is the best of the best I’ve ever seen
    I said it once and I’ll say it again!… We are very lucky to have
    you Timon as our TEACHER and MENTOR.
    thanks again.

  15. Ranmal Goonetilleke says:

    Hi Timon,

    Thanks for all your useful videos that have enabled me to improve my trading (this one included!) – much appreciated!!

  16. Again priceless tips from you Tim. I cant thank you enough

  17. Thanks Timon good one

  18. Hi Tim, could you explain the 3 to 4 candles minimum bit again please. I just don’t understand what you mean by that, thanks for any help.

    • Hey Pete,
      Yeah sure, the 3 to 4 ( or even 5 candles ) candles refers to average market cycles in the market. Not something that happens every-time, however commonly.
      So, as an example 3 to 5 bullish candles then indecision, then 3 to 5 bearish candles ( not needing to be same size of course as previous wave ).
      As these types of cycles are common on the higher time frames, it can then also be used as an extra confluence with other confluences ( extra bit of evidence ) relating to a potential setup.

  19. Great info one of the best I have seen well done Timon

  20. thank u ….great information

  21. Guido Ulens says:

    Hello Timon,
    I enjoyed this video. Which charting software are you using to look at the chart of this video? Thanks, Guido

  22. Timon,
    great lesson,
    thank you,

  23. Hello Timon, That was a great tip. I enjoyed watching it. Will back test it and add it to my trading strategies.
    Thanks very much for your generosity.

  24. Timm Layne says:

    I very much like the video, make things a little simpler when looking for set up. Thanks

  25. Great as usual. Your engulfing programme has opened my eyes!

  26. Million dollar content. Thank you Timon.

  27. Frank Nilson says:

    Hi Timon, thanks for the great video. I have noticed that the trading charts have changed quite radically since a couple of years ago. In the past it seems to me that there were many trends as oppose to the few we have today. I don’t know if you agree with this but that is what I am noticing.

  28. Great video. would love to see an example of shorting in the video, particularly using BB.



  30. Derek Ang says:

    When it show 3 – 4 bearish candles and it start to go up when is the entry time for it?

  31. If a stock is in uptrend and get a retrace? is it possible it to become a downtrend? is that a signal?

  32. Rick Parizeault Jr says:

    Thank you Timon, as always, very good information, looking forward to your sequential video on lower timeframe retrace

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